Retrospective: Week of 12/30-1/3

 

Macro Events & News

The final week of 2024 was subdued, marked by light trading volume and minimal economic data due to the New Year holiday. A steady sell-off into year-end erased some gains from what was otherwise a strong year for the major indexes. The first Friday of 2025 brought a much-needed rebound, with the S&P 500 rising 1.3%, the Nasdaq gaining 1.8%, and the Dow adding 0.8%. Despite this recovery, the overall weekly performance remained negative. Market activity is expected to pick up as key economic reports and corporate earnings begin to roll in mid-January.

The 10-Year Treasury yield fell back a tad to 4.6%, and the VIX advanced slightly to 16.13.

For the week, all major indexes ended lower but not by much: the Dow down < 1%, the S&P 500 down < 1%, and the Nasdaq down < 1%.

 

Watchlist News

GameStop (NYSE:GME) 2%

GameStop lost earlier momentum midweek, experiencing a 5% sell-off, but staged a strong recovery alongside the broader market on Friday. The stock stayed resilient despite a lack of significant news or catalysts during the week.

august bear notes

GameStop continues to trade within a narrow range, reflecting sustained investor interest despite the lack of a clear catalyst. This consolidation suggests that market participants are watching closely, anticipating a potential trigger to drive the next significant move – higher or lower.

NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) 4%

NVIDIA surged back to the mid-$140s this week, marking a notable recovery after a period of subdued performance. The stock gained momentum throughout the week without any major news or announcements, closing strong on Friday.

august bear notes

The past month’s action appeared to reflect profit-taking and rotation out of one of 2024’s top performers, NVIDIA, which delivered an impressive 190% return. With the new year underway, portfolio managers are reallocating into industry leaders that have consistently delivered results, like NVIDIA. This renewed momentum could signal the start of a strong run toward all-time highs, especially with retail investors poised to join in.

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