Friday volatility should be expected under the new administration, which has now rolled out major trade-related policies two weeks in a row. This is likely a negotiation tactic—having it dominate headlines and applying pressure on all parties to reach a deal.
Earnings season is about halfway through, but with most market cap leaders already reported, the remaining reports are unlikely to shift momentum. Interesting names this week include Robinhood, The Trade Desk, Reddit, Super Micro, and Shopify, though none are expected to change overall market sentiment.
Key economic data this week includes CPI (Wednesday), PPI (Thursday), and Retail Sales (Friday). While trade war and tariff concerns should continue to dominate, a hotter-than-expected CPI/PPI or weaker Retail Sales could fuel market fears. Also of note is the Wednesday’s 10-year note auction which could impact yields.
Yet another week to pay attention to and leverage the VIX.
Monday
Earnings: MCD
Tuesday
Earnings: SHOP KO GFS SMCI
Wednesday
CPI
Earnings: HOOD TTD RDDT
Thursday
PPI
Earnings: PANW ROKU COIN
Friday
Retail Sales
Tracking This Week
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Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) has faced investor scrutiny due to slower-than-expected cloud growth. However, similar to its peers (Amazon and Google), the company has experienced growth, albeit not at the levels the market expected. Enough time has passed for investors to move beyond their emotions, recognizing that the growth story is still intact.
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